could climate change shut down the gulf stream?

The warm salty water travels up the U.S. east coast, then crosses into the North Atlantic region where it releases heat and warms Western Europe. The scientists hypothesized that this could explain why, in 2014, a specific patch in the middle of the North Atlantic was the coldest on record since 1880 while global temperatures everywhere else were increasing. Another 2015 study that modeled a hypothetical slowdown or collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation concluded that a collapse could result in widespread cooling throughout the North Atlantic and Europe (though this would be somewhat mitigated by global warming), increased sea ice in the North Atlantic, changes in tropical precipitation patterns, stronger North Atlantic storms, reduced precipitation and river flow as well as reduced crop productivity in Europe. by Renee Cho via Phys.org: https://phys.org/news/2017-06-climate-gulf-stream.html A new study has found the Gulf Stream is circulating at its slowest rate in at least 1,600 years. Your feedback will go directly to Science X editors. “And we are finding large seasonal changes and interannual changes…It’s a complicated system and we can’t make any predictions.”, “The important thing is to understand better what is happening, by when it’s happening and what the potential implications will be,” said Tedesco. Climate - Climate - The Gulf Stream: This major current system is a western boundary current that flows poleward along a boundary separating the warm and more saline waters of the Sargasso Sea to the east from the colder, slightly fresher continental slope waters to the north and west. Global warming could potentially cause a thermohaline circulation shutdown and subsequent regional cooling, but because Earth will continue to warm as a result of greenhouse gas emissions, it would not produce another Ice Age. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, part of the thermohaline circulation which includes the Gulf Stream, is the ocean circulation system that carries heat north from the tropics and Southern Hemisphere until it loses it in the northern North Atlantic, Nordic and Labrador Seas, which leads to the deep sinking of the colder waters. In 1969 my father was getting ready to build a home on Middle Sound, Wilmington N.C. As a result, today, cold waters sink in the North Atlantic and flow southwards, while warm tropical waters at the surface flow northwards in the Gulf Stream, making northern Europe unusually mild for its latitude. Since the Gulf Stream also extends toward Europe, it warms western European countries as well.In fact, England is about the same distance from the equator as cold regions of Canada, yet England enjoys a much warmer climate. That was in the very early 1970s. https://www.ecostinger.com/blog/accumulation-of-moon-jellyfish-in-germany-baltic-coast/. A 2015 study suggested that the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation has weakened by 15-20% in 200 years. All these factors are pointing in the direction of increasing the freshwater discharge in the North Atlantic section of the Arctic. “A conveyor shutdown is not likely,” said Broecker. "And we are finding large seasonal changes and interannual changes…It's a complicated system and we can't make any predictions. Broecker theorized that changes in the thermohaline circulation triggered dramatic changes in the North Atlantic during the last ice age. I would like to here more on this subject. The content is provided for information purposes only. At the end of the last Ice Age 13 to 11.5 thousand years ago, the North Atlantic Deep Water circulation system that drives the Gulf Stream may have shut down because of melting glaciers that added freshwater into the North Atlantic Ocean over several … “Our priority is to better estimate the behavior of the Arctic and its connections to the temperate part of the planet in the short and long term…The question is not if things are going to change, the thing is how fast and when are they going to change, and what are the changes we’re going to see. In theory, less salt in the ocean could stall out the Gulf Stream and rob some of the world’s greatest civilization centers of their natural heating source, plunging the … I have lived in Vermont for 14 years, previously living in Cambridge England. One article I read was about a finite element simulation of the entire ocean circulation. “More biological activity implies darker surfaces which in turn implies more melting,” said Tedesco. But if it were to occur, the consequences would be far less severe since, in the past, large existing expanses of sea ice were significant players in cooling the planet. It’s very likely going to have an impact.”, In addition to warming temperatures accelerating Greenland’s melting, the snow and ice are being darkened by black carbon,  (reducing their reflectivity and warming the snow), and wind-blown algae and bacteria that are growing in holes in the ice. In part two of our series on how the virus has changed the world, we look at the ways the pandemic has pushed back efforts to create more equitable societies. Broecker theorized that changes in the thermohaline circulation triggered dramatic changes in the North Atlantic during the last ice age. Thank you for taking your time to send in your valued opinion to Science X editors. I’m sure temperature was part of the simulation. This site uses cookies to assist with navigation, analyse your use of our services, and provide content from third parties. If the Sahara is caused by the Hadley cell, it should ring the Earth like the Hadley cell, surely? The Gulf Stream is weakening, and Europe could expect a prolonged cold spell as the world warms – but not the day after tomorrow. Because the thermohaline circulation is mainly driven by differences in the water's density, it depends upon the cold dense waters that sink into the deep oceans. Climate Change Evidence ... or even shut-down completely, the warm Gulf Stream. Dont know if its connected to the gulf stream slowing down but upto around ten fifeteen years ago from may to september time our local seas would be filled with both moon and lions mane jellyfish i cant remember seeing any for years now our local beaches would be covered with them at times and ive been wondering why they dont appear nowadys i live in caithness highland scotland . If the thermohaline circulation shut down, cooling would likely occur only in regions that are currently warmed by the ocean conveyor. Your opinions are important to us. The Gulf Stream, European Climate and Abrupt Climate Change A few times a year the British media of all stripes goes into a tizzy of panic when one climate scientist or another states that there is a possibility that the North Atlantic ocean circulation, of which the Gulf Stream is a major part, will slow down in coming years or even stop. The circulation has slowed between 15 and 20 percent in the 20th century, an anomaly unprecedented over the last millennium, which suggests it is not due to natural variability. Overall, it is likely that there will be some decline in the AMOC by 2050, but decades during which the AMOC increases are also to be expected.”, According to Broecker, although reorganizations of ocean circulation are at the core of what happened in the past, we cannot say what the likelihood is that warming due to greenhouse gases will trigger yet another large and abrupt change. This website uses cookies as well as similar tools and technologies to understand visitors' experiences. The bottom line is that the thermohaline circulation is a very complex system and scientists do not yet understand all the variables involved in how it functions. Another 2015 study that modeled a hypothetical slowdown or collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation concluded that a collapse could result in widespread cooling throughout the North Atlantic and Europe (though this would be somewhat mitigated by global warming), increased sea ice in the North Atlantic, changes in tropical precipitation patterns, stronger North Atlantic storms, reduced precipitation and river flow as well as reduced crop productivity in Europe. While I am here, I always… Read more ». That May, the Arctic lost about 23,600 square miles of ice daily, compared to the long-term average loss of 18,000 square miles per day. (It seems to have made a partial recovery since 1990.). This story is republished courtesy of Earth Institute, Columbia University: blogs.ei.columbia.edu . Because the thermohaline circulation is mainly driven by differences in the water’s density, it depends upon the cold dense waters that sink into the deep oceans. Currently sea levels are lower on the U.S. east coast because waters east of the Gulf Stream, closer to Europe, are warmer and expand, so sea levels there are higher. The 2004 disaster movie “The Day After Tomorrow” depicted the cataclysmic effects—superstorms, tornadoes and deep freezes— resulting from the impacts of climate change. Get weekly and/or daily updates delivered to your inbox. Ice pack recedes under climate change is to suggest is used only to let the know... Feature Releases ocean circulation effect of global warming on a major UN report on global warming on a major report. The road increased, for the Earth is only when you travel around do realize. Hovered over Greenland, causing water not to drain impact on climate if the thermohaline circulation triggered dramatic changes the. Nasa News & Feature Releases ocean circulation it carried hovered over Greenland causing... 'S global Seasonal climate Forecasts and ENSO status and forecast other purpose warming a... 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